Saturday's free feature is the Trainer/Jockey Combo (TJC) report, which works by bringing together the form of trainers and jockeys into a single composite report that has produced excellent results for users. Basically, some trainers turn to specific riders when they have one ‘ready to win’ and this report quickly identifies the most profitable of those combinations. Clicking on any row will reveal the entries for that trainer/jockey pairing whilst clicking on the entry will open the race in a new tab.
HINT: Look for a good sample size – ideally five or more – combined with a decent win percentage (30%+), and a positive figure in the profit column and as ever, please refer to our User Guide for further information.
My own settings for the TJC Report are fairly restrictive...
...and they haven't actually generated any runners for me to look at, so it's a good job that as always, we have a list of fully functional 'free' racecards each day, which for Saturday cover...
- 1.30 Haydock
- 2.15 Beverley
- 3.15 Haydock
- 4.35 Beverley
- 5.58 Bellewstown
- 8.00 Bellewstown
The pick of these is undoubtedly the Old Newton Cup but 17-runner handicaps tend not to be my thing, so I'll stick to the next best and first of that list, the 1.30 Haydock, a 7-runner, Class 4, 3yo flat handicap over a straight 5f on good ground...
We've no LTO winners to discuss today, but Due for Luck was third of nineteen in the Epsom Dash at the start of the month, beaten by a length and a half with the re-opposing Curious Rover a further 2 places and 2.25 lengths further back. Curious Rover has raced again since and was also third last time out, beaten by 2.5 lengths at Chester in an eleven-runner field and he's now a pound better off with Due For Luck.
All seven runners here have won at least one of their last seven races and all bar Fools Gold have had at least one outing in the last five weeks, but he hasn't been seen for nearly ten months since being well beaten (10 lengths) in a Group 2 race at Doncaster, when seventh of eight. He has been gelded during his layoff but will probably need the run here on his handicap debut.
He's down three classes here today, as none of this field actually raced at Class 4 last time around; Vince L'Amour, Lady Pink Rose and Moonstone Boy all raced at Class 2, whilst Due For Luck and Curious Rover both competed in Class 3 handicaps. Only bottom weight Cloud King steps up in class here.
Only Curious Rover and Due For Luck have raced here at Haydock before with the former winning a Class 2 Nursery over course and distance last September in a race where Due For Luck was last home of the four runners, almost seven lengths down and it's this pair that lead the way on Instant Expert...
Vince l'Amour and Moonstone Boy have done well over this trip too, although the former's best runs have come on soft and heavy ground and this might be too quick for him. From the above, it's Due For Luck who has had the most success turning those placed efforts into wins...
You wouldn't normally expect much of a draw bias in a small field over a straight 5f on good ground, but the results from similar past races doesn't bode well for the chances of Cloud King and Moonstone Boy drawn higher than stall five...
I must admit that I didn't expect that, but I wasn't surprised to see the following pace data from those races above...
... which then generated this pace/draw heat map...
Fools Gold only has three previous runs under his belt, so it's probably fairest to just analyse the field's last three runs and here's how they've approached then from a pace perspective complete with the corresponding pace/draw heat map for this contest...
Summary
For me, it's a two-way battle between Curious Rover and Due For Luck and I feel they're very closely matched. The former leads the head to head by 2 to 1, the latter had the better win record on Instant Expert. Both are drawn well, both made the frame last time out and both had good place record on Instant Expert, but Curious Rover likely to attempt the control the race from the front, he'd be my marginal pick here at 4/1*, which offers better value than the 2/1* ticket on Due for Luck.
Only 2 places on offer today, sadly, but 10/1* outsider Moonstone Boy could easily outrun those odds and he might be the one who'd take advantage of any slip up from my 1-2.
*odds taken from Bet365 (only book open) at 4.40pm Friday.
Other Recent Posts by This Author:
- Tix Picks, Saturday 04/01/25
- Tix Picks, Friday 03/01/25
- Tix Picks, Thursday 02/01/25
- Tix Picks, Tuesday 31/12/24
- Tix Picks, Monday 30/12/24
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