Racing Insights, Saturday 17/02/24

Saturday's free feature is the Trainer/Jockey Combo (TJC) report, which works by bringing together the form of trainers and jockeys into a single composite report that has produced excellent results for users. Basically, some trainers turn to specific riders when they have one ‘ready to win’ and this report quickly identifies the most profitable of those combinations. Clicking on any row will reveal the entries for that trainer/jockey pairing whilst clicking on the entry will open the race in a new tab.

HINT: Look for a good sample size – ideally five or more – combined with a decent win percentage (30%+), and a positive figure in the profit column and as ever, please refer to our User Guide for further information.

My own settings for the TJC report look like this...

...and they have generated the following runners...

30-day form...

1-year form...

course 1-year form...

course 5-year form...

...for me to consider in addition to our selection of daily 'free' races...

• 3.15 Haydock
• 3.27 Gowran Park
• 3.57 Newcastle
• 6.00 Newcastle
• 7.15 Newcastle

Both Highland Hunter & Trais Fluors from the TJC report are set to run in races from our 'free' list, but the former's race is by far the higher-rated, so I'm staying fairly close (approx 30 miles SW from home) for the 3.15 Haydock, an 11-runner, Class 1, 5yo+ handicap chase over what might be a slog of almost 3m5f (after rail movements) on heavy ground...

It's a pretty open-looking contest here with all eleven having won at least one of their last six outings with Snipe winning twice, Iwilldoit & My Silver Lining scoring three times and Famous Bridge landing four of six, but only My Silver Lining was a winner last time out. Other placers, Iron Bridge, Yeah Man and Snipe finished as runners-up on their last runs.

Most of these ran at Class 1 on their last outing, but top weight Iwilldoit, featured runner and first-time cheekpiece-wearer Highland Hunter and Full Back all step up from Class 2, whilst bottom weight Snipe is up two classes after finishing second at Doncaster three weeks ago. That three week rest is the shortest of any of the field, but the longest lay-off is with Yeah Man (who also wears cheekpieces for the first time today) and he's only been off for eight weeks, so no fitness excuses.

Only Iwilldoit and Highland Hunter have won over a similar trip to this one, but we've three former course winners in the shape of Iron Bridge (3m2f chase), Fontaine Collonges (3m1½f chase) and Famous Bridge (2 x 3m1½f chase) as shown below on Instant Expert...

...where most of the top half of the field look like they'll have suitable conditions to suit their style. In fairness, we're not really playing with a large bank of data, but going & distance form might well be key here.  We also don't have much to go on regarding pace, but Haydock has tended to suit those setting the tempo in staying chases on difficult ground...

...which could be good news for Highland Hunter, if we ignore his last outing over an unsuitably short 2m6f at Lingfield last time out...

I suspect he'll attempt to make all here with My Silver Lining leading the chasing pack.

Summary

Most of these come here in decent nick and both Iwilldoit & My Silver Lining have won three times in their last six outings, whilst Famous Bridge had landed four of six, but only My Silver Lining was a winner last time out.

Five of the top six on the card seemed to have the best figures on Instant Expert ie Iwilldoit, Chambard, Highland Hunter, Fontaine Collonges and Famous Bridge, whilst the pace profile highlighted Highland Hunter and My Silver Lining.

If we look at these names, we see two mentions for Iwilldoit, Highland Hunter and Famous Bridge and three for My Silver Lining and I think I want to focus on this quartet for a possible bet.

I said at the top of the piece that this looked an open affair and the bookies seem to share that view with the 4.40pm market looking like this...

Of those, I like My Silver Lining best. She's in tremendous form right now and should be further ahead of any potential trouble in the field when horses start to tire. I suspect she'll let Highland Hunter lead the way before picking him off later on. That said, 18/1 looks a really big price about the potential pace-maker and with all major firms paying at least four places, Highland Hunter would be my E/W pick and I expect Iwilldoit and Famous Bridge to go well too and both might well end up in E/W territory if money comes for other runners. I'll need to check the market closer to the off.

Other Recent Posts by This Author:

• Tix Picks, Saturday 14/12/24
• Tix Picks, Friday 13/12/24
• Tix Picks, Thursday 12/12/24
• Tix Picks, Wednesday 11/12/24
• Tix Picks, Tuesday 10/12/24