Wednesday's free Geegeez GOLD feature, the Trainer Statistics (TS) report is, in fact, four reports in one. It contains information on a trainer’s recent form, and their longer term course form. For each of 14 day, 30 day, course one year, and course five year, users can filter by runs, wins, places, win profit/loss and each way profit/loss. Clicking on any row in the report will reveal the runners that trainer has entered on the day in question, and clicking on the runner row will open that race in a new tab.
HINT: It can help to cross refer the profit figures of the trainer with their win/place percentage. A few big priced winners can mean a trainer has a high profit number but a low strike rate. You may need to be very patient, and a bit lucky, to come out in front this way!
[ Please refer to our User Guide for further information ]
In addition to the free daily feature, we always open up a number of racecards to non-Gold subscribers and for Wednesday, they are...
- 2.30 Bath
- 5.40 Lingfield
- 5.55 Bath
- 6.20 Naas
- 8.10 Sandown
My own personal settings for the TS report...
...have generated plenty of runners from a couple of in-form yards and have also picked out a trainer with a good long-term track record...
It's a pretty poor day of racing if truth be told with 5 UK courses holding 31 races with none rated any higher than Class 4. Thankfully one of those appears on our list of free races, so let's have a look at the 8.10 Sandown, a 9-runner, Class 4, 3yo flat handicap over a right-handed 1m2f on good ground...
A pretty inexperienced bunch here, as you might expect from a group of 3 yr olds. They've raced a total of 46 times so far, making the frame on 14 occasions (30.4%) and winning 7 times (15.2%). Gozo, Stage Show and Zodiac Star are still maidens after 6, 6 and 4 attempts respectively, from which Stage Show has never even made the frame.
Conversely, Morcar won last time out and Gallant Lion comes in search of a hat-trick after wins at Brighton and Newbury in the past month. Two of the maidens, Zodiac Star & Gozo should be assisted by dropping down towo classes here, the third maiden, Stage Show, actually steps up a grade here, as do our two LTO winners, Morcar and Gallant Lion.
Dumfires drops down a class for what will be his second handicap run, as it will also be for Golspie and LTO winner Morcar, whilst Zodiac Star makes a handicap debut here and wears a hood for the first time, whilst Golspie sports cheekpieces for the first time.
Six of the nine runners have already won at least one race (only Gallant Lion has won twice!), but none have won here at Sandown before (Dancing In Paris & Stage Show are the only ones to have raced here), but both of Gallant Lion's victories have been over today's trip, as was Morcar's success LTO.
Dumfries might well need a run after a break of almost 16 weeks, but the remainder of the field have all seen action in the last six weeks with both Gozo and Gallant Lion having raced in the last fortnight. In addition to the other facts, Instant Expert tells us that six of the field have raced on good ground before, generating two wins, whilst Golspie is the only one of the six previous Class 4 flat runners to have won at this grade...
None of these have really raced enough to give too many causes for concern, but the fact that Stage Show has yet to make the frame after six efforts has to be noted. Dancing In Paris has a weak record at Class 4, but does like good ground and the vast majority of the field should be fine with the trip. Dancing In Paris is now 9lbs higher than his last win and is only rated 1lb lower than his last run, which saw him beaten by more than ten lengths, so that's got to raise doubts here. Morcar and Gallant Lion are up 8lbs and 7lbs respectively for their LTO wins, but both (especially Morcar) won relatively comfortably, so might not yet be anchored by the weight.
It would be easy to assume from the draw sectors, that those drawn highest would have a distinct advantage here...
...but I'd temper those thoughts by (a) pointing to the place stats, which are pretty consistent across the board, (b) showing you the stall-by-stall data, which looks a bit skewed in places and (c) reproducing the PRB3 data...
There may well be a bit of a flat spot around the data for stalls 4 & 5 that is overcompensated by the number of wins from stalls 6 & 7, but I'm not entirely convinced the draw is going to make or break a runner's chances here over 1m2f on good ground. That can't necessarily be said for race/race tactics, as there's a clear template for how to win such races...
...and that involves getting out quickly and leading. The way this field have raced in their relatively short careers would tend to suggest that Gallant Lion might struggle to land the hat-trick here...
Summary
Despite the pace chart above, I do think that the LTO winners Gallant Lion and Morcar are the horses to beat here and it's no surprise to see them installed as early (3.40pm) 3/1 joint favourites. Morcar won far more comfortably than Gallant Lion last time out and does appear to have a better pace profile, so if pushed to pick between the two, I'd be looking for Morcar to just edge Gallant Lion out.
Referring back to the pace chart, all Band of Steel's decent efforts have been on the A/W, he has shown little on turf and Dancing In Paris is too high in the weights, as I suggested earlier. Zodiac Star, however, might well improve for a step up in trip and he is down two classes here and might well be of E/W interest, especially as he's effectively 4lbs lower than LTO. You can get 10/1 about him at the moment and that might not be a bad shout. Similar applies to Golspie at 14's, he won on his debut and is very lightly raced. There's a touch of the unknowns about him, but he wouldn't have to do too much to get involved here in what looks a mediocre field.
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