Thursday's UK placepots can be played via Tix at Carlisle, Ludlow, Nottingham, Southwell & Wolverhampton.
But, what is Tix?
A video explainer can be found here.
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A few more pointers can be found in these articles:
https://www.geegeez.co.uk/exotic-betting-multi-race-bets-part-1/
https://www.geegeez.co.uk/exotic-betting-multi-race-bets-part-2/
Today's pools
Today's UK meetings, pools and minimum guarantees are as follows...
And with Wolverhampton having the biggest pot, let's take in their first six races on standard tapeta, starting with...
Leg 1 @ 4.35, an 11-runner, Class 6, 3yo+ apprentice handicap over 1m½f...
Billy McGarry has won three of his last seven and only missed out on completing a hat-trick by less than a length over this course and distance last time out. Cerulean Summer has made the frame in four of her last five and comes here after winning by two lengths over 1m1½f on this track ten days ago. Harbour Vision was headed close over over C&D five days ago, he goes well here at Wolverhampton and will be dangerous of an unchanged mark. Cobh Harbour is still a maiden after 12 starts, but has finished 434533 in his last six, so should be involve again today, whilst bottom-weight and 10-race maiden Just Typical produced his best effort to date when second of ten at Southwell 16 days ago.
Instant Expert's 2yr A/W stats show most of those named above in a good light, plus opens the door for Hellavapace, even if her very recent form is quite poor...
Leaders & prominent runners fare best in this type of race here, but only three runners have an average pace score of 2.50 or higher from their last four runs...
So, I'm definitely taking (4) Harbour Vision today and from Billy McGarry, Cerulean Summer, Cobh Harbour and Sir Titan, I'm going to side with (1) Billy McGarry and (2) Cerulean Summer
Leg 2 @ 5.10, a 10-runner, Class 6, 3yo+ handicap over 5f...
Front-running My Genghis comes here seeking a hat-trick after a one length win here over 6f was followed by a comfortable 5.5 length success over 5½f at Brighton a week ago. Suanni has a win and a place from his last four and Colors Of Freedom was third at Chelmsford 12 days ago, having won here over course and distance on her penultimate run.
My Kind Of Girl has yet to win after 16 attempts, but has made the frame on four of her last six, finishing as runner-up three times. Banana is somewhat unbelievably still a maiden after 35 races, but has been placed 335373 in her last six, Rockley Point was third twice in a row before finishing last of 12 at Newcastle two days ago and Hi Ho Tonto was second of twelve at Southwell earlier this month.
Instant Expert suggests that My Genghis is the one to beat here, but that plenty of others have it in their locker to get involved...
.Lower drawn runners fare well over this course/distance, which is good news for the likes of Banana, Colors Of Freedom and Hi Ho Tonto, whilst early pace is always beneficial over 5f here...
...so that's (1) My Genghis and (5) Colors Of Freedom on my ticket. (4) Suanni also ticks plenty of boxes and will be up front early, so I'll take him at the expense of Hi Ho Tonto and hope I don't regret it.
Leg 3 @ 5.45, a 7-runner, Class 5, 3yo+ novice stakes over 1m1½f...
Hillbridge has been third in three of her last four, Izipizi was a good second of eleven at Newbury in a Class 2 race two starts ago, but Magic Dream was last of six in that grade when last seen some 174 days ago, although she was second of fourteen beaten by just a head on debut at Newbury on April. Morrophore was third on debut but has been rested for 106 days after only finishing sixth at Yarmouth on her second outing and Nowhere has made the frame in three of her four starts to date and with all four coming on the A/W she's the most experienced away from turf.
The pace is ikley to come from Izipizi and Hillbridge, although Nowhere and magic Dream did both race prominently last out...
..whilst the lowest drawn runners are Morrophore, Prevasil and Nowhere.
As ever, in these novice events, there's not a great deal of data to work with, but what little I do have steers me towards (3) Hillbridge and (4) Izipizi. I was surprised to see (7) Nowhere out as long as 16/1 and bigger, as she might fare better than that here.
Leg 4 @ 6.15, a 12-runner, Class 5, 3yo+ handicap over 6f...
A decent-sized field, but my initial thoughts were that the winner would come from the top end of the card with 10yo veteran Muscika and the sole filly in the race, Crimson Angel the ones to beat.
The former isn't the horse he was (obviously), but drops in class here after some decent efforts this summer. He was a runner-up beaten by just a length in a 21-runner field at York before just going down by a nose at Epsom in mid-August. he wasn't quite at it last time lout, but a drop in class against a modest-looking field and he should be on the premises again, as should Crimson Angel.
This 4yr old filly has dropped in the weights to a dangerous mark and having not been beaten by far in her last two outings, could well be ready to break her cold spell. Elsewhere Lihou won three starts ago and Musical Touch has been third twice in his last three. Honour Your Dreams and Aces Wild both have a win and two places from their last five and bottom weight Phoenix Beach's last five read 33232.
The pace is likely to come from four of those mentioned above, so that's another tick for them...
...whilst the pick of the Instant Expert stats look like this...
...so (2) Muscika is a definite pick here. I'm inclined to stick with my gut feeling about (4) Crimson Angel despite her lack of early pace and in what is a difficult decision between the other three runners on that pace graphic, I'll take the consistent placer (11) Phoenix Beach over Honour Your Dreams and Lihou.
Leg 5 @ 6.45, an 11-runner, Class 4, 3yo+ handicap over 1m4f...
Diamond Ranger is in good nick finishing 2143 in his last four. Lartigue has made the frame in all three starts but hasn't raced for nine months, Gifted Angel comes here seeking a hat-trick and won over course and distance two starts ago. Speriamo is 122 from her last three, Crown of India has been third in five of his last six in 9-11 runner races. Oosterpark won three races ago, Cock And Bull looks in the grip of the assessor finishing 7th of 12 and 4th of 7 after a run reading 21221123 and Dashinwhitesargent has won two of his last four.
So, plenty of this field come here in decent form, but of them Diamond Ranger, Lartigue, Gifted Angel and Dashinwhiteangel seem most suited to the prevalent conditions...
and I'm just going to omit Lartigue from that quartet, as he'll probably ned a ruin after a nine-month break, leaving me with (1) Diamond Ranger, (3) Gifted Angel & (11) Dashinwhitesargent.
Leg 6 @ 7.15, an 11-runner, Class 5, 3yo+ fillies handicap over 1m1½f...
Red Treasure has made the frame in her last two starts, Renesmee's last three read 221 having beaten the re-opposing Lia Rose by half a length here over course and distance 19 days ago, but the runner-up is 1lb better off here, so they're closely matched. Lia Rose herself has finished 237232 in her last six, so she's going well, as is Shahnaz with two wins and a place from her last four. Idyllic won three starts ago and her form reads 233174, Darysina Gold's reads 221245 and Bay Dream Believer has finished 11324 in her last five, so this looks a wide-open if not high-class affair.
Of those mentioned above, Red Treasure, Renesmee, Lia Rose and Darysina Gold all step up a class here. We know Renesmme won over course and distance last time out, Kaaress has also won over this track/trip, but as a hold-up horse might struggle today.
None of this field have a particularly great record at Class 5, but that aside, my Instant Expert shortlist only has four runners on it...
All four were mentioned in my preview and if I'm honest, I'm not sure which to omit, so the easy option is to take all four in the hope we've still not tickets in play after 7pm!
*
All of which gives me...
Leg 1: (1) Billy McGarry, (2) Cerulean Summer & (4) Harbour Vision
Leg 2: (1) My Genghis, (4) Suanni & (5) Colors Of Freedom
Leg 3: (3) Hillbridge, (4) Izipizi & (7) Nowhere
Leg 4: (2) Muscika, (4) Crimson Angel & (11) Phoenix Beach
Leg 5: (1) Diamond Ranger, (3) Gifted Angel & (11) Dashinwhitesargent
Leg 6: (2) Red Treasure, (3) Renesmee, (6) Lia Rose & (9) Idyllic
...and here's how I'd play them, whilst trying to stay close to a nominal £20 total stake...
Best of luck, everyone!
Chris
Other Recent Posts by This Author:
- Tix Picks, Saturday 04/01/25
- Tix Picks, Friday 03/01/25
- Tix Picks, Thursday 02/01/25
- Tix Picks, Tuesday 31/12/24
- Tix Picks, Monday 30/12/24
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