Wednesday's free Geegeez GOLD feature, the Trainer Statistics (TS) report is, in fact, four reports in one. It contains information on a trainer’s recent form, and their longer term course form. For each of 14 day, 30 day, course one year, and course five year, users can filter by runs, wins, places, win profit/loss and each way profit/loss. Clicking on any row in the report will reveal the runners that trainer has entered on the day in question, and clicking on the runner row will open that race in a new tab.
HINT: It can help to cross refer the profit figures of the trainer with their win/place percentage. A few big priced winners can mean a trainer has a high profit number but a low strike rate. You may need to be very patient, and a bit lucky, to come out in front this way!
[ Please refer to our User Guide for further information ]
In addition to the free daily feature, we always open up a number of racecards to non-Gold subscribers and for Wednesday, they are...
- 2.30 Fairyhouse
- 4.10 Sedgefield
- 4.30 Fairyhouse
- 4.50 Ludlow
My own personal settings for the TS report...
...have highlighted the following runners...
1-year course form...
5-year course form...
...and I think we'll look at the Tate and Crisford runners in what initially looks a tight race for the 6.30 Kempton, a 6-runner, Class 4, 3yo A/W handicap over a right-handed 7f on Standard To Slow polytrack...
NEAPOLITAN has a win and three runner-up finishes in his last five outings starting with a win over 6f on this track back in October. Closer than 5th of 10 LTO would sound and drops two classes here.
GUNFIGHTER is the only one of this field with a top-3 finish LTO, beaten by less than a length at Lingfield. Prior to that run, he'd won 2 of 4 (both wins on Tapeta), including one win at today's trip.
EMINNY won two of her first three starts last summer, but is winless in six since although she did make the frame in back to back handicaps in September before a wide-margin Listed class defeat last time out. Hasn't raced in 96 days since then and now drops back to Class 4 for her A/W debut.
AHLAIN also drops down from Class 1 here after finishing last of six (42 lengths adrift) in a Group 3 race at Goodwood in August. She did win here over course and distance (Class 5) two starts ago on her sole A/W outing to date and whilst unexposed after just three starts, might need the run after 165 days off.
RICH GLORY is another with very few miles on the clock having made just four appearances to date, all on turf (good/good to Firm). He has been gelded during a 4-month break and steps up in trip for the first time here, but does drop two classes for his handicap and cheekpieces debuts.
CROSS THE TRACKS won a Class 4, 6f novice event on debut back in September, but struggled in four subsequent races before running here over course and distance last time out, when headed inside the final furlong. he'd have probably still made the frame but for losing a couple of places when hampered close to the line. Could get closer with less traffic to contend with.
Instant Expert says...
...that off an admittedly small sample size (the field only has 35 combined outings), Neapolitan and Ahlain have the best set of results, whilst Gunfighter is very experienced (relatively speaking, of course!) at Class 4. He has the inside draw here and whilst stalls 3 & 4 have fared better than the inner stalls, he's not in a bad starting point according to our draw analyser...
...which says those drawn highest are lest likely to win/place. That said, they can still win, but their best angle of attack is probably to try and get away and grab the lead, as highlighted by our pace/draw heat map...
...which is derived from those draw stats above and the following pace data from the same races...
The potential glitch/fly in the ointment comes with this field's pace stats from their most recent outings...
...suggesting little early pace, although Rich Glory and Neapolitan tend not to hang about.
Summary
On form, Neapolitan and Gunfighter look the ones to beat and both are drawn low to middle of the six, thus avoiding the higher two stalls. Neapolitan was the pick of the pack, followed by Ahlain on Instant Expert and despite a lack of help from the pace stats, I'd be inclined to believe that this trio would be the first three home.
Of the three, I like Neapolitan best with not a great deal to choose between the other two. No prices were offered at 3.35pm Tuesday, but I'd expect Neapolitan to be around the 3/1 mark.
Other Recent Posts by This Author:
- Tix Picks, Saturday 04/01/25
- Tix Picks, Friday 03/01/25
- Tix Picks, Thursday 02/01/25
- Tix Picks, Tuesday 31/12/24
- Tix Picks, Monday 30/12/24
