Friday's free feature, the Horses for Courses (H4C) report does exactly what it says on the tin ie it shows the full course history since 2009 of any horse running that has previously had a run at the track and is sorted by number of wins, but this can be changed to any column at your discretion.
As well as today’s race time, course, horse name, jockey and trainer name, there is a breakdown of runs, wins and places, and profit and loss calculations for both win and each way betting and as with all Geegeez reports, there is a ‘Today’ and a ‘Tomorrow’ (for the next day’s racing) view.
HINT: Layers might like to look towards the lower end of the report, for those with negative performance at the track, but as ever please refer to our User Guide for further information!
My own settings (you get to choose your own parameters) for the H4C report...
...are quite restrictive and have generated just the one runner for me to consider...
Thankfully, this daily feature is, as always, supplemented by a number of 'free' racecards...
- 1.50 Newbury
- 2.50 Nottingham
- 4.45 Newbury
- 5.07 Down Royal
- 6.25 Newmarket
- 8.10 Newmarket
...but the H4C race is rated higher than any of the list above, so I'm going to look at Jordan Electrics and the 6.35 Hamilton, a 10-runner, Class 2, 3yo+ flat handicap over a straight 6f on good ground...
...where my initial thoughts were that this might well be a two-horse race between the afore-mentioned Jordan Electrics from the H4C report and bottom-weight Tiriac.
Jordan Electrics actually comes here seeking a hat-trick and has three wins and a runner-up (beaten by a neck) finish from his last four outings and has five wins from his last seven. Top-weight Spangled Mac is the only other LTO winner in the field, but he has been away from the track for over eight months and might well be in need of a run before getting back to his best.
Aside from these two LTO winners, only Manila Scouse's runner-up (bt by 1.25L) effort at Thirsk a fortnight ago is the only place finish any of the field achieved on their last run and Rocket Rodney, Silky Wilkie, First Folio and Londoner are all winless in at least seven (10, 16, 13 & 12 to be precise!) runs.
First Folio's chances of a first win in 14 races surely won't be helped by a step up in class, as do the fast-finishing returnee Spangled Mac and Manila Scouse, whilst my two 'most likelys', Jordan Electrics & Tiriac, are both up two classes today.
Spangled Mac has a 5lb claimer on board to ease the burden of being top-weight, whilst it's first-time blinkers for Magical Spirit and a hood for Londoner.
Jordan Electrics has five wins and four further places from fourteen efforts over course and distance, hence his place on the H4C report, but Manila Scouse has also won over track and trip as recently as early June, three starts ago. Rocket Rodney and Londoner are the only two without a win over today's trip and in addition to our two course and distance winners, Silky Wilkie has also won here, scoring over 5f on her sole previous visit to the track two years and four days ago, which therefore doesn't quite make it onto the two-year record on Instant Expert...
The sharper eyed amongst you will notice that I've also included Class 3 results, because none of them have won in this grade on the Flat over the last couple of years! There's no shock to find that Jordan Electrics is the eyecatcher and my main areas of concern are for First Folio, Raatea and Manila Scouse at the trip. Perhaps they've been unlucky not to win and have made the frame in gallant defeats?
Well, there's definitely some form of redemption for Manila Scouse, whose place stats suggest that he might well be an E/W contender here, but First Folio and Raatea still look vulnerable over the trip.
As you'd probably expect by now, a straight six furlongs on good ground shouldn't really be too affected by the draw, but front-running is to be rewarded...
...which, surprise surprise, is yet more good news for Jordan Electrics...
...but another blow to Raatea's chances.
Summary
You'll be surprised to hear/read that I'm with Jordan Electrics for this one. The above sets of data make it hard to oppose this in-form track and trip specialist, even if he is up in weight and class. We're not getting rich off this 3/1 fav**, but he should be the winner. As for a second option, Manila Scouse looks good as a possible E/W bet, especially if we can get more than the 13/2** currently being offered.
**odds are from Hills, only book open at 4.25pm Thursday.
Other Recent Posts by This Author:
- Tix Picks, Saturday 04/01/25
- Tix Picks, Friday 03/01/25
- Tix Picks, Thursday 02/01/25
- Tix Picks, Tuesday 31/12/24
- Tix Picks, Monday 30/12/24
