Racing Insights, Saturday 20/01/24

Saturday's free feature is the Trainer/Jockey Combo (TJC) report, which works by bringing together the form of trainers and jockeys into a single composite report that has produced excellent results for users. Basically, some trainers turn to specific riders when they have one ‘ready to win’ and this report quickly identifies the most profitable of those combinations. Clicking on any row will reveal the entries for that trainer/jockey pairing whilst clicking on the entry will open the race in a new tab.

HINT: Look for a good sample size – ideally five or more – combined with a decent win percentage (30%+), and a positive figure in the profit column and as ever, please refer to our User Guide for further information.

My own settings for the TJC Report look like this...

...and they have generated the following runners for me to check out...

...30-day form...

...1-year form...

...course 1-year form...

...course 5-year form...

...plus as ever, we have a list of fully functional 'free' racecards each day, which for Saturday were due to cover...

• 12.15 Lingfield
• 12.55 Haydock
• 2.40 Haydock
• 3.15 Haydock
• 4.28 Taunton
• 6.00 Wolverhampton

But, as you can see, the recent cold snap has played havoc with the day's racing. That said, between the 'free' list and daily report, we do have eight races to aim at, including the richest race of the day, the Winter Oaks featuring two runners from the TJC report as Queen Regent and Eleanor Cross do battle with 6 other fillies in the 3.10 Lingfield, a Class 2, 4yo+ A/W handicap for fillies/mares over a left handed 1m2f on standard polytrack...

Miss Bluebell won last time out and is two from her last five, Oh So Grand arrives here on a hat-tirck and has won four of her last six (with 2 placed finishes), whilst Storymaker has won her last four after a trio of third place finishes. Elsewhere only Eleanor Cross is winless in six, but to be fair she's only had three races to date, finishing in the frame twice.

Only hat-trick seeking Oh So Grand, Queen Regent (who wears cheekpieces for the first time today) and Behind The Scenes raced at this Class 2 level last time out, as Twirling (second handicap effort today) and Dayzee are up one class, LTO winners Miss Bluebell and Storymaker will find life tougher up two classes, whilst bottom weight Eleanor Cross is up three for her handicap debut, having failed to win at either Class 4 or 5 over this trip.

Miss Bluebell raced as recently as last Saturday, when scoring at Wolverhampton, whilst the longest break has been had by Oh So Grand and Queen Regent, who finished first and second here over course and distance 45 days ago. They were separated by a length and a quarter that day, but the runner-up is 4lbs better off here.

That win by Oh So Grand makes her the only course and distance winner, but Storymaker has won here over 7f and Miss Bluebelle has scored over this trip at Bath and Chelmsford as well as winning twice over 1m1½f at Wolverhampton, but it's Oh So Grand who steals the show on Instant Expert...

We've admittedly not got a great deal of data from a field with a combined 64 races in total and even those with red boxes have still run well in those small number of outings, making the frame regularly...

...where the more experienced Miss Bluebelle and Storymaker have proven to be A/W standard going experts. The concern with the former is the 7lb hike from her last win and the fact that is her track debut with her best form coming on the tapeta at Wolverhampton. She's drawn in stall 2 today, which has been the most successful stall in 8-runner contests over this course and distance...

...which is a positive after the 7lb rise in weights. and if she can race prominently or even set the tempo of the race, then she might have a really good chance based on this evidence below...

And fortunately for her, that's exactly what she tends to do...

Summary

Whilst Oh So Grand isn't ideally suited pace-wise based on her last two runs, the previous two were tactically ideal for this contest. If she runs that way here then, as the only Class 2 winner in the field and in great form (113211), she looks the one to beat from a low draw. She beat Queen Regent last time and although the latter is better off at the weights, her wide draw might stop her reversing the placings, but I fancy both to make the frame along with Miss Bluebell and/or Storymaker.

We've discussed Miss Bluebell already and she looks to have a decent chance of getting placed, whilst Storymaker has more experience and loves it here at Lingfield. I'll consult the market before making any selections, though.

As of 6.40pm on Friday evening, the market looked like this...

...and 9/4 probably seems about right for Oh So Grand, so I won't try to deter anyone from backing her, but I think my play here is to take the 9/1 E/W (Sky offer 4 places!) about Queen Regent who should run the fav close again, as she did in the trial for this race seven weeks ago.

Other Recent Posts by This Author:

• Tix Picks, Wednesday 04/12/24
• Tix Picks, Tuesday 03/12/24
• Tix Picks, Monday 02/12/24
• Tix Picks, Saturday 30/11/24
• Tix Picks, Thursday 28/11/24